Monday, June 23, 2014

On the Bed-Wetters' Manifesto

The IPCC makes a litany of assumptions; a) that the norm of nature and climate is a steady state (rather than a chaotic one), b) that all climate change is undesirable, c) that living things are fragile and incapable of adapting to change, and d) that CO2 is the major driver of climate. To say that these assumptions are at the very minimum dubious is an understatement....................................................................................The real truth here, folks, is that a) the climate has always changed and it always will change, b) life is highly persistent and adaptable and very few species have actually gone extinct over the past million and a half years (this despite the fact that we've had multiple ice ages and warming optimums significantly higher than now), c) life for the most part has thrived during warm periods and if any climate change is to be feared it is global cooling (yeah, human beings didn't exactly do very well during the last ice age - HELLO!!), and d) there are countless variables that influence the weather and to say that a trace gas (a necessary one no less, one that we couldn't conceivably live without) which constitutes a tiny part of the overall energy budget is more important than solar forcings, oceanic oscillations, plate tectonics, volcanic (including underwater volcanoes) activity and inactivity, planetary perturbations, bacteria, cosmic rays, lunar and galactic cycles, cloud formations, etc., etc. is patently absurd..................................................................................Of course, the fact that 97% of their predictions (most of them apocalyptic) have been way off the mark and all of their reports extremely speculative hasn't helped, either.

4 comments:

dmarks said...

You didn't take time to point out the ludicrous defense of this non-science by those who trumpet "consensus!". Ask Galileo how much the consensus of the scientists of his day helped him.

Les Carpenter said...

The organism that is known as the living human body is indeed capable of adapting to imposed demand. The term is known as the SAID principle or Specific Adaptation to Imposed Demand. It occurs in people, especially body builders, athletes, those who engage in any fitness activity, and it can occur in individuals into their 90's.

Will "take no prisoners" Hart said...

Yeah, dmarks, consensus is a big part of their argument as well. But like you say, even if there was a consensus (and there isn't; 48% of the American Meteorological Association doesn't believe that human factors are the primary drivers of climate chance), that ISN'T and never will be the modus operandi of science.............That's an interesting fact, Les. And it's good to know that it's never too late to get yourself conditioned.

Les Carpenter said...

Yeah, and I found myself contemplating (something Rusty rarely if ever does apparently) whether it just might be a good idea to consider that like the human body if you fail to keep it conditioned and in good form, ie by abusing it the earth life might just be shortened. Or put another way its ability to sustain human life might be compromised.

Just sayin it's worth considering.